Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Suzuki wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.6% vs Thompson 45.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 93.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 74.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 86.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Suzuki
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Suzuki
Thompson
Last 10: Suzuki 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
0
Suzuki
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
2
Suzuki
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
8
6
Suzuki
Thompson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (945)
44.6% (661)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.7% (282)
48.4% (95)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (67)
33.3% (33)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Thompson
Home
51.0% (637)
45.7% (411)
Away
50.2% (657)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Suzuki
Thompson
P1
53.1%
47.7%
P2
47.4%
45.7%
P3
51.3%
40.5%
OT
48.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |