Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Dubois 44.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 93.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 88.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Hayes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Hayes
Dubois
Last 9: Hayes 9-0 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
0
Hayes
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
43.5% (955)
+7.0%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
42.0% (81)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (127)
54.5% (11)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Dubois is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (717).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dubois
Home
49.0% (531)
47.0% (538)
Away
49.6% (450)
39.7% (509)
By Period
Hayes
Dubois
P1
52.3%
41.8%
P2
45.8%
43.2%
P3
50.2%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.2%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |