Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 78.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 67.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Hartman
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hartman
Seguin
Last 5: Hartman 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
1
Hartman
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Hartman
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
56.5% (712)
-11.7%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
59.7% (67)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
44.9% (49)
-11.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Hartman shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Hartman
Seguin
Home
47.4% (568)
58.5% (402)
Away
42.4% (576)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Hartman
Seguin
P1
47.2%
58.4%
P2
43.4%
54.7%
P3
43.8%
54.1%
OT
53.8%
72.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |