Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Hartman
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Hartman
Seguin
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hartman
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
6
3
Hartman
Seguin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Hartman
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (4,023)
53.7% (8,071)
-8.9%
Power Play
47.1% (412)
55.9% (810)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (261)
49.3% (762)
-6.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,276).
Hartman shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Hartman
Seguin
Home
46.3% (2,446)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
43.4% (2,250)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Hartman
Seguin
P1
45.2%
52.8%
P2
43.2%
53.3%
P3
46.2%
54.7%
OT
56.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |