Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Hartman wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 47.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 62.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 61.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 76.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Hartman
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hartman
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (649)
56.9% (478)
-9.8%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
57.4% (54)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (73)
51.3% (76)
-6.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Hartman shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Hartman
Seguin
Home
46.5% (361)
57.4% (317)
Away
47.3% (429)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Hartman
Seguin
P1
45.1%
50.3%
P2
44.4%
60.4%
P3
50.9%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |