Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hartman wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 79.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 78.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 76.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Hartman
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hartman
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
1
Hartman
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
55.0% (713)
-12.4%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
56.7% (104)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
47.2% (53)
+1.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Hartman shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Hartman
Seguin
Home
43.4% (288)
56.2% (443)
Away
42.4% (276)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Hartman
Seguin
P1
43.1%
54.2%
P2
43.4%
52.9%
P3
42.0%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |