Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tommy Novak
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% vs Novak 46.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (349)
43.2% (118)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Home
38.5% (231)
50.7% (71)
Away
43.2% (206)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
P1
40.2%
44.7%
P2
36.0%
50.0%
P3
45.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
37.1%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |