Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tommy Novak
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 44.5%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% vs Novak 45.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.8%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (527)
43.8% (384)
+1.6%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
58.8% (17)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
100.0% (1)
-55.1%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
Home
46.1% (336)
46.5% (202)
Away
44.2% (346)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Novak
P1
49.1%
49.2%
P2
45.3%
44.2%
P3
42.0%
40.0%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |