Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Wyatt Johnston
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Johnston 50.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 63.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 63.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 4-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
50.7% (552)
+0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
61.5% (13)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
43.5% (69)
-7.6%
On power play, Johnston has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Home
50.8% (258)
50.3% (342)
Away
44.9% (234)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
P1
51.6%
54.4%
P2
45.2%
47.2%
P3
47.6%
49.4%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |