Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Wyatt Johnston
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Johnston 51.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
52.6% (696)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
52.3% (88)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
42.4% (125)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Home
48.9% (270)
52.8% (458)
Away
48.1% (287)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
P1
48.7%
48.9%
P2
50.0%
52.3%
P3
47.3%
51.4%
OT
36.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |