Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Johnston 48.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 51.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
47.3% (666)
-1.3%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
50.7% (69)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
51.4% (35)
-19.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Home
50.3% (175)
47.5% (364)
Away
40.4% (114)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
P1
48.5%
49.4%
P2
45.9%
46.9%
P3
46.5%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |