Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Johnston 49.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 51.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 71.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 62.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
49.3% (2,024)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
52.7% (165)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
44.6% (233)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Home
46.4% (5,318)
49.4% (1,211)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
48.7% (1,211)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
P1
45.1%
49.7%
P2
43.8%
48.5%
P3
45.2%
48.9%
OT
43.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |