Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Johnston 49.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 58.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 4-6 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
49.1% (2,232)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
52.5% (179)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
44.7% (237)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
Home
46.5% (5,361)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Johnston
P1
45.1%
50.0%
P2
43.9%
48.1%
P3
45.2%
48.6%
OT
43.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |