Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Novak 46.5% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 53.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Monahan
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (641)
43.2% (118)
+8.3%
Power Play
62.8% (129)
47.8% (23)
+15.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Monahan shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Monahan
Novak
Home
53.9% (362)
50.7% (71)
Away
52.5% (417)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Monahan
Novak
P1
48.0%
44.7%
P2
57.0%
50.0%
P3
54.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
53.1%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
44.0%