Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Novak 45.6% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 55.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Monahan
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
43.8% (384)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
58.8% (17)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
100.0% (1)
-47.8%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Monahan shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Monahan
Novak
Home
53.5% (144)
46.5% (202)
Away
56.5% (177)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Monahan
Novak
P1
52.5%
49.2%
P2
50.9%
44.2%
P3
60.8%
40.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
55.1%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
44.5%