Sebastian Aho vs Trevor Zegras

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Aho 51.3% vs Zegras 39.5% (+12.4%)
H2H factor Aho leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 86.5%
Defensive zone Aho 94.0%
Neutral zone Aho 89.9%
Result Sebastian Aho favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Aho Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
12 - 7 (19 meetings)
12
7
Aho Zegras
Last 10: Aho 8-2 Zegras

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
3
4
Aho Zegras
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
0
Aho Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
7
3
Aho Zegras
10 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Aho
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (6,646)
39.0% (1,703)
+11.2%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
38.5% (148)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (465)
25.0% (8)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +21.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Aho shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Aho
Zegras
Home
52.4% (4,325)
40.5% (908)
Away
50.1% (4,096)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Aho
Zegras
P1
51.1%
40.0%
P2
52.1%
38.6%
P3
50.8%
38.2%
OT
48.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
40.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%
50.5%
51.3%
Zegras
42.0%
28.0%
38.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 11, 2025 2 08:31 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 11, 2025 1 04:39 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Oct 15, 2023 1 08:31 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Oct 15, 2023 1 05:00 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 25, 2023 3 13:35 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Feb 25, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Feb 25, 2023 1 16:09 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Feb 25, 2023 1 12:17 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 25, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Dec 6, 2022 2 10:16 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Apr 10, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Apr 10, 2022 2 13:52 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Apr 10, 2022 2 13:49 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Apr 10, 2022 2 00:00 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Apr 10, 2022 1 14:08 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Apr 10, 2022 1 12:06 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Apr 10, 2022 1 11:26 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Apr 10, 2022 1 11:00 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Apr 10, 2022 1 06:12 Neutral Trevor Zegras