Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Seguin 51.8% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Novak
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
54.8% (135)
-11.9%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
58.3% (24)
-17.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Novak shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Novak
Seguin
Home
40.9% (110)
47.4% (95)
Away
44.5% (110)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Novak
Seguin
P1
39.1%
50.8%
P2
43.9%
57.1%
P3
44.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
25.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%