Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 42.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-12.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 73.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 78.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Novak
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (408)
53.2% (201)
-12.8%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
60.0% (25)
-14.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Novak shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Novak
Seguin
Home
42.0% (212)
56.3% (126)
Away
39.7% (229)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Novak
Seguin
P1
41.9%
44.3%
P2
39.3%
52.1%
P3
42.1%
62.5%
OT
25.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%