Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 42.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Zegras
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zegras
Seguin
Last 5: Zegras 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zegras
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Zegras
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (559)
55.0% (713)
-13.9%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
56.7% (104)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Zegras shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Zegras
Seguin
Home
45.7% (247)
56.2% (443)
Away
38.0% (326)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Zegras
Seguin
P1
45.5%
54.2%
P2
36.8%
52.9%
P3
41.1%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
37.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |