Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.3% vs Seguin 51.8% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 71.5%
Defensive zone
Zegras 72.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 71.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Zegras
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Zegras
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (156)
54.8% (135)
-18.3%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
58.3% (24)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
26.7% (15)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Zegras shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Zegras
Seguin
Home
38.9% (113)
47.4% (95)
Away
32.9% (73)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Zegras
Seguin
P1
40.0%
50.8%
P2
38.1%
57.1%
P3
31.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
36.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |