Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 30.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 43.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 76.8%
Defensive zone
Zegras 67.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 76.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Zegras
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Zegras
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (128)
56.9% (478)
-17.1%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
57.4% (54)
-35.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.3% (76)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Zegras shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Zegras
Seguin
Home
29.7% (74)
57.4% (317)
Away
48.4% (64)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Zegras
Seguin
P1
40.7%
50.3%
P2
35.1%
60.4%
P3
41.0%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |