Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 37.0% vs Seguin 52.5% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 53.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 90.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 75.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Zegras
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
33.0% (264)
53.2% (201)
-20.2%
Power Play
32.1% (56)
60.0% (25)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Zegras shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Zegras
Seguin
Home
35.3% (173)
56.3% (126)
Away
30.2% (149)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Zegras
Seguin
P1
33.0%
44.3%
P2
35.7%
52.1%
P3
29.7%
62.5%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
29.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |