Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zegras wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 88.7%
Defensive zone
Zegras 58.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 81.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Zegras
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zegras
Seguin
Last 5: Zegras 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
0
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Zegras
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Zegras
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (510)
56.5% (712)
-17.1%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
59.7% (67)
-12.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Zegras shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Zegras
Seguin
Home
42.3% (272)
58.5% (402)
Away
37.5% (272)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Zegras
Seguin
P1
37.6%
58.4%
P2
41.5%
54.7%
P3
40.8%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |