Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Zegras 41.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 94.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 84.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Hayton
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hayton
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
39.4% (510)
+8.7%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
47.1% (34)
+8.5%
On even strength, Hayton has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
48.8% (424)
42.3% (272)
Away
47.5% (438)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
52.9%
37.6%
P2
47.3%
41.5%
P3
44.1%
40.8%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
48.1%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |