Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Zegras 40.4% (+18.0%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 69.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 76.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Hayton
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
33.6% (143)
+19.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
39.0% (41)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
100.0% (1)
-64.3%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
57.8% (301)
31.6% (98)
Away
47.7% (266)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
52.6%
38.9%
P2
49.3%
38.0%
P3
58.1%
27.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%