Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Zegras 37.0% (+19.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 75.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 63.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Hayton
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
33.0% (264)
+19.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
32.1% (56)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.0% (2)
-13.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
56.8% (433)
35.3% (173)
Away
47.4% (344)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
52.8%
33.0%
P2
50.3%
35.7%
P3
55.4%
29.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%