Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Zegras 41.3% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 56.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 52.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 57.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Hayton
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayton
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Hayton
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
36.5% (156)
+16.1%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
40.7% (27)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
0.0% (3)
+53.1%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
53.9% (516)
38.9% (113)
Away
54.4% (504)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
55.1%
40.0%
P2
55.0%
38.1%
P3
51.7%
31.6%
OT
69.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
54.1%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |