Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Zegras 43.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 70.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 89.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 79.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Hayton
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hayton
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
39.8% (128)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
22.2% (9)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
0.0% (1)
+42.4%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
47.4% (171)
29.7% (74)
Away
51.4% (247)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
49.6%
40.7%
P2
50.0%
35.1%
P3
49.0%
41.0%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
49.8%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |