Barrett Hayton vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Zegras 39.5% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 88.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 73.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Hayton
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hayton
Zegras
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
4
Hayton
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
1
Hayton
Zegras
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
39.0% (1,703)
+11.8%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
38.5% (148)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
25.0% (8)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
52.8% (2,269)
40.5% (908)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
52.0%
40.0%
P2
51.4%
38.6%
P3
49.9%
38.2%
OT
58.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |