Barrett Hayton vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Zegras 40.2% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 52.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 88.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 73.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Hayton
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hayton
Zegras
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
4
Hayton
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
1
Hayton
Zegras
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,316)
39.5% (1,582)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.1% (553)
41.4% (133)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (369)
28.6% (7)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hayton is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,657).
Hayton shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Hayton
Zegras
Home
52.7% (2,137)
40.6% (833)
Away
49.5% (2,101)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Hayton
Zegras
P1
51.9%
41.2%
P2
51.3%
39.1%
P3
49.9%
38.5%
OT
61.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
51.1%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |