Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Dvorak 51.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 55.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Horvat
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Horvat
Dvorak
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Dvorak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Dvorak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
6
Horvat
Dvorak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
52.2% (686)
+2.5%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
49.0% (104)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
53.5% (127)
-1.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dvorak
Home
59.8% (853)
54.1% (423)
Away
53.8% (832)
50.2% (494)
By Period
Horvat
Dvorak
P1
55.0%
51.4%
P2
58.3%
52.0%
P3
57.8%
52.4%
OT
44.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | OT | 03:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |