Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Dvorak 53.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 62.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 63.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Horvat
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horvat
Dvorak
Last 8: Horvat 3-5 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Horvat
Dvorak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Dvorak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Horvat
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
54.2% (804)
+1.5%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
54.2% (131)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
46.4% (84)
+2.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dvorak
Home
59.4% (537)
53.9% (497)
Away
54.0% (544)
53.3% (522)
By Period
Horvat
Dvorak
P1
59.9%
54.6%
P2
54.5%
53.2%
P3
56.1%
54.3%
OT
55.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
59.4%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |