Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Dvorak 56.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Horvat
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Dvorak
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
3
Horvat
Dvorak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Horvat
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
57.0% (291)
-3.5%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
83.3% (18)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
50.0% (32)
+1.3%
On power play, Dvorak has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dvorak
Home
54.2% (714)
58.3% (151)
Away
53.6% (705)
57.4% (190)
By Period
Horvat
Dvorak
P1
53.5%
56.7%
P2
56.3%
56.7%
P3
53.5%
59.6%
OT
28.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
53.9%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |