Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 40 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Dvorak 53.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 57-54 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 54.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Horvat
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
54
(111 meetings)
57
54
Horvat
Dvorak
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
27
13
Horvat
Dvorak
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
18
17
Horvat
Dvorak
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
12
24
Horvat
Dvorak
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
53.1% (6,785)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
55.7% (1,012)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
50.8% (889)
-3.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dvorak
Home
56.1% (8,423)
54.7% (4,151)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.7% (4,535)
By Period
Horvat
Dvorak
P1
54.1%
54.5%
P2
54.5%
51.9%
P3
55.0%
53.1%
OT
49.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | OT | 02:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |