Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Dvorak 55.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 77.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 54.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Horvat
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Horvat
Dvorak
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Dvorak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Dvorak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
5
Horvat
Dvorak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
56.4% (857)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
69.0% (29)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
50.6% (174)
-4.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dvorak
Home
59.2% (684)
55.1% (501)
Away
57.0% (635)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Horvat
Dvorak
P1
57.9%
55.8%
P2
55.4%
52.5%
P3
61.5%
58.2%
OT
53.8%
63.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
58.2%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | OT | 02:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |