Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Dewar 48.1% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 61.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Nelson
Dewar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.6% (114)
+4.3%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (2)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
52.9% (17)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Nelson
Dewar
Home
49.8% (458)
45.3% (64)
Away
49.0% (506)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Nelson
Dewar
P1
50.1%
33.3%
P2
45.4%
44.2%
P3
52.7%
64.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
46.6%