Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.3%). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Zacha 46.5% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 53.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 54.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Mittelstadt
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
45.3% (247)
+0.0%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
58.1% (31)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
22.2% (18)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
45.1% (366)
39.7% (131)
Away
46.8% (370)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
41.1%
42.9%
P2
51.1%
46.4%
P3
45.9%
42.3%
OT
30.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.9%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%