Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 67.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 75.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
0
Mittelstadt
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Mittelstadt
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
53.9% (787)
-7.5%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
63.2% (193)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
44.3% (88)
+5.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
47.7% (583)
56.7% (538)
Away
46.4% (541)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
50.0%
52.6%
P2
46.2%
54.8%
P3
45.5%
56.8%
OT
25.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |