Casey Mittelstadt vs Pavel Zacha
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Zacha 49.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 54.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 71.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
5
0
Mittelstadt
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
6
Mittelstadt
Zacha
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
5
Mittelstadt
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
48.9% (5,156)
-3.9%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
55.7% (813)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
42.2% (557)
-4.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
46.7% (2,317)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
46.7%
49.9%
P2
46.1%
49.2%
P3
44.0%
48.2%
OT
36.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |