Casey Mittelstadt vs Pavel Zacha

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Pavel Zacha holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Zacha 51.8% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone Mittelstadt 66.2%
Defensive zone Zacha 60.4%
Neutral zone Zacha 54.6%
Result Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Mittelstadt Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
53.0% (700)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.1% (109)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.2% (74)
+60.8%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +60.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
58.7% (92)
51.6% (438)
Away
42.0% (81)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
47.7%
57.0%
P2
48.2%
48.9%
P3
56.7%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%
50.0%
50.9%
Zacha
56.0%
50.0%
52.0%