Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Zacha 52.8% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 70.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
54.1% (534)
-9.4%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
56.0% (109)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.8% (96)
-4.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Zacha
Home
46.0% (491)
53.4% (406)
Away
42.4% (512)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Zacha
P1
44.0%
56.8%
P2
46.4%
53.6%
P3
41.9%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |