Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Tavares 59.8% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 64.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Blackwell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Blackwell
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Blackwell
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
60.9% (1,043)
-11.3%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
60.4% (278)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
47.6% (21)
-13.1%
On power play, Blackwell has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
53.9% (76)
63.5% (684)
Away
45.2% (93)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
43.4%
60.3%
P2
50.0%
60.4%
P3
53.8%
60.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
49.1%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |