Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs Tavares 58.7% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Blackwell
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
59.2% (1,035)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
42.9% (7)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
41.9% (31)
57.5% (668)
Away
48.7% (39)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
47.1%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
41.4%
61.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%