Colin Blackwell vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.9%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 68.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Blackwell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Blackwell
Tavares
Last 7: Blackwell 4-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
3
0
Blackwell
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (706)
54.0% (16,169)
-4.7%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
56.4% (4,298)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (264)
50.5% (624)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (802).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
46.0% (485)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
48.9% (523)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
47.3%
55.0%
P2
47.2%
54.1%
P3
48.1%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |