Colin Blackwell vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.3%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 66.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Blackwell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Blackwell
Tavares
Last 7: Blackwell 4-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
3
0
Blackwell
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (649)
54.0% (15,885)
-5.2%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
56.5% (4,221)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (244)
50.7% (612)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
45.6% (436)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
49.3% (495)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
48.0%
55.1%
P2
47.4%
54.1%
P3
47.4%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
47.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |