Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 50.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-8.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.3%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 57.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Blackwell
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
57.5% (914)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
59.1% (22)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
57.9% (19)
61.0% (661)
Away
41.2% (17)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
45.5%
58.6%
P2
57.1%
57.8%
P3
45.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
50.0%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%