Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.3% vs Tavares 57.8% (-17.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.3%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 78.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Blackwell
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (123)
59.0% (691)
-12.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.2% (173)
-57.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (66)
63.6% (11)
-30.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +57.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
42.0% (100)
58.0% (500)
Away
40.7% (91)
59.7% (375)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
48.5%
59.5%
P2
31.3%
58.5%
P3
44.1%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
41.4%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%