Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 91.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Mercer
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Mercer
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
49.2% (901)
-6.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
68.2% (22)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
49.8% (219)
-21.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kuraly
Home
39.0% (82)
51.7% (603)
Away
45.8% (83)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Mercer
Kuraly
P1
45.5%
50.9%
P2
44.0%
49.5%
P3
36.7%
49.1%
Final 5 min
36.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
42.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |