Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Hertl 55.4% (-15.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Mercer
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
54.1% (717)
-13.1%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
61.9% (210)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
58.1% (31)
-21.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Mercer
Hertl
Home
45.2% (126)
58.1% (492)
Away
35.1% (111)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Mercer
Hertl
P1
34.5%
57.1%
P2
43.4%
54.0%
P3
45.8%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
40.5%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%