Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs McBain 44.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 57.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 71.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lindholm
McBain
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
1
Lindholm
McBain
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
3
Lindholm
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
45.3% (675)
+12.4%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
50.0% (16)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
37.6% (149)
+11.0%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
55.7% (760)
45.5% (437)
Away
55.8% (778)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
53.7%
43.5%
P2
58.3%
44.0%
P3
55.1%
45.0%
OT
59.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jack McBain |