Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs McBain 49.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 52.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 52.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lindholm
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
51.2% (424)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
46.2% (13)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
27.3% (22)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
54.4% (688)
53.6% (235)
Away
56.1% (686)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
57.2%
48.6%
P2
54.3%
50.9%
P3
54.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.2%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jack McBain |