Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs McBain 46.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 91.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 69.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 81.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Lindholm
McBain
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
4
Lindholm
McBain
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Lindholm
McBain
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
4
Lindholm
McBain
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
48.1% (2,322)
+5.7%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
44.6% (56)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
35.6% (309)
+12.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
54.2% (5,980)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
54.2%
47.1%
P2
54.5%
47.4%
P3
53.0%
45.4%
OT
53.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |