Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs McBain 45.9% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 91.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 91.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 81.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Lindholm
McBain
Last 10: Lindholm 8-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
McBain
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
46.3% (568)
+11.0%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
37.5% (8)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
37.8% (74)
+11.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
55.2% (667)
50.6% (330)
Away
57.5% (669)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
54.7%
45.4%
P2
55.5%
44.5%
P3
58.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |