Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs McBain 50.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 59.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 52.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 61.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
McBain
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Lindholm
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
52.6% (504)
+0.9%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
50.0% (12)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
33.3% (42)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
55.5% (431)
51.8% (251)
Away
52.7% (298)
50.5% (307)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
52.3%
50.9%
P2
54.8%
53.9%
P3
56.3%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |