Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs McBain 50.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 56.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 62.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lindholm
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
McBain
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Lindholm
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Lindholm
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
52.5% (569)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
42.1% (19)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
36.2% (47)
+16.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McBain
Home
56.6% (578)
52.4% (309)
Away
54.9% (455)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Lindholm
McBain
P1
55.2%
54.0%
P2
56.3%
52.7%
P3
56.3%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |